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Consider the CRR model withT = 2 and S0 = 100, Su1 = 120, Sd1 = 90. Assume that the interest rate r = 0.Consider an American put option with reward process g(St, t) = (Lt − St)+ andvariable strike price L0 = 105, L1 = 116, L2 = 111.(a) Find parameters u, d, the stock price at time T = 2, and a martingale measure˜P on (Ω, F2)

Question

Consider the CRR model withT = 2 and S0 = 100, Su1 = 120, Sd1 = 90. Assume that the interest rate r = 0.Consider an American put option with reward process g(St, t) = (Lt − St)+ andvariable strike price L0 = 105, L1 = 116, L2 = 111.(a) Find parameters u, d, the stock price at time T = 2, and a martingale measure˜P on (Ω, F2)

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Solution

The CRR model is a binomial model used for pricing options. In this case, we have two periods (T=2) and the initial stock price (S0) is 100. The stock price can either go up (Su1) to 120 or down (Sd1) to 90. The interest rate (r) is 0.

(a) To find the parameters u and d, we use the formulas:

u = Su1/S0 = 120/100 = 1.2 d = Sd1/S0 = 90/100 = 0.9

The stock price at time T=2 can be calculated using the CRR model. Since we have two periods, there are three possible stock prices at T=2:

  • If the stock price goes up in both periods: S2 = S0 * u * u = 100 * 1.2 * 1.2 = 144
  • If the stock price goes up in the first period and down in the second: S2 = S0 * u * d = 100 * 1.2 * 0.9 = 108
  • If the stock price goes down in both periods: S2 = S0 * d * d = 100 * 0.9 * 0.9 = 81

A martingale measure P~ on (Ω, F2) is a probability measure under which the price process of the stock is a martingale. Since the interest rate is 0, the risk-neutral measure is a martingale measure. The risk-neutral probabilities (p~, 1-p~) can be calculated using the formulas:

p~ = (1 + r - d) / (u - d) = (1 + 0 - 0.9) / (1.2 - 0.9) = 0.3333 1-p~ = 1 - p~ = 1 - 0.3333 = 0.6667

So, the martingale measure P~ on (Ω, F2) is (0.3333, 0.6667).

This problem has been solved

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