An artificial intelligence company is developing software for determining whether a photograph contains a human face. Among all photographs that are processed by the software, 10% are known to contain a human face. For a photograph containing a human face, the probability that the software correctly determines the photograph contains a human face is 0.75 and for a photograph that does not contain any human faces, the probability that the software incorrectly determines the photograph contains a human face is 0.33. Suppose a randomly selected photograph is determined by the software to not contain any human faces. Find the probability that the photograph actually curtained a human face
Question
An artificial intelligence company is developing software for determining whether a photograph contains a human face. Among all photographs that are processed by the software, 10% are known to contain a human face. For a photograph containing a human face, the probability that the software correctly determines the photograph contains a human face is 0.75 and for a photograph that does not contain any human faces, the probability that the software incorrectly determines the photograph contains a human face is 0.33. Suppose a randomly selected photograph is determined by the software to not contain any human faces. Find the probability that the photograph actually curtained a human face
Solution
Let's denote:
- F as the event that a photograph contains a human face
- NF as the event that a photograph does not contain a human face
- D as the event that the software determines a photograph contains a human face
- ND as the event that the software determines a photograph does not contain a human face
We are given:
- P(F) = 0.10 (probability that a photograph contains a human face)
- P(NF) = 1 - P(F) = 0.90 (probability that a photograph does not contain a human face)
- P(D|F) = 0.75 (probability that the software correctly determines the photograph contains a human face)
- P(D|NF) = 0.33 (probability that the software incorrectly determines the photograph contains a human face)
We are asked to find P(F|ND), the probability that a photograph contains a human face given that the software determines it does not contain a human face.
First, we need to find P(ND|F) and P(ND|NF), the probabilities that the software determines a photograph does not contain a human face given that it does or does not contain a human face, respectively.
Since the software either determines a photograph contains a human face or it does not, we have:
- P(ND|F) = 1 - P(D|F) = 1 - 0.75 = 0.25
- P(ND|NF) = 1 - P(D|NF) = 1 - 0.33 = 0.67
Now we can use Bayes' theorem to find P(F|ND):
P(F|ND) = P(ND|F) * P(F) / [P(ND|F) * P(F) + P(ND|NF) * P(NF)]
Substituting the given values:
P(F|ND) = 0.25 * 0.10 / [0.25 * 0.10 + 0.67 * 0.90] = 0.025 / [0.025 + 0.603] = 0.025 / 0.628 ≈ 0.0398
So, the probability that a photograph contains a human face given that the software determines it does not contain a human face is approximately 0.0398 or 3.98%.
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