Let the possible levels of returns from a portfolio of shares be classified as low, medium, or high. The table below shows the marginal probability distribution for returns.Returns low medium highProbability 0.4 p pWhat should p equal for this to be a valid probability distribution? (Your answer should be correct to two decimal places.)
Question
Let the possible levels of returns from a portfolio of shares be classified as low, medium, or high. The table below shows the marginal probability distribution for returns.Returns low medium highProbability 0.4 p pWhat should p equal for this to be a valid probability distribution? (Your answer should be correct to two decimal places.)
Solution
In a valid probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must equal 1.
Given that the probability of low returns is 0.4, and the probabilities of medium and high returns are both p, the sum of these probabilities is 0.4 + p + p.
To find the value of p, we set this sum equal to 1 and solve for p:
0.4 + p + p = 1 2p = 1 - 0.4 2p = 0.6 p = 0.6 / 2 p = 0.3
So, for this to be a valid probability distribution, p should equal 0.3.
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