Imagine a scenario where the expected inflation rate is 1.5%, but the actual inflation rate turns out to be 1%. If the nominal interest rate remains unchanged, which statement is correct? a. Borrowers will benefit, and lenders will lose. b. Both borrowers and lenders will benefit. c. The economy is experiencing a deflationary episode. d. The ex post real interest rate is half a percentage point higher than the ex ante real interest rate.
Question
Imagine a scenario where the expected inflation rate is 1.5%, but the actual inflation rate turns out to be 1%. If the nominal interest rate remains unchanged, which statement is correct? a. Borrowers will benefit, and lenders will lose. b. Both borrowers and lenders will benefit. c. The economy is experiencing a deflationary episode. d. The ex post real interest rate is half a percentage point higher than the ex ante real interest rate.
Solution
The correct statement is d. The ex post real interest rate is half a percentage point higher than the ex ante real interest rate.
Here's why:
The ex ante real interest rate is the nominal interest rate minus the expected inflation rate. In this case, if we assume the nominal interest rate is x, then the ex ante real interest rate would be x - 1.5%.
The ex post real interest rate is the nominal interest rate minus the actual inflation rate. In this case, it would be x - 1%.
Since the actual inflation rate is lower than the expected inflation rate, the ex post real interest rate is higher than the ex ante real interest rate by 0.5%.
Similar Questions
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