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[10 marks] CRR model: American put option. Consider the CRR model withT = 2 and S0 = 100, Su1 = 120, Sd1 = 90. Assume that the interest rate r = 0.Consider an American put option with reward process g(St, t) = (Lt − St)+ andvariable strike price L0 = 105, L1 = 116, L2 = 111.(a) Find parameters u, d, the stock price at time T = 2, and a martingale measure˜P on (Ω, F2).(b) Compute the price process P a of this option using the recursive relationshipP at = max{(Lt − St)+, (1 + r)−1(˜pP aut+1 + (1 − ˜p)P adt+1)}with the terminal condition P a2 = (L2 − S2)+.(c) Find the holder’s rational exercise time τ ∗0 .

Question

[10 marks] CRR model: American put option. Consider the CRR model withT = 2 and S0 = 100, Su1 = 120, Sd1 = 90. Assume that the interest rate r = 0.Consider an American put option with reward process g(St, t) = (Lt − St)+ andvariable strike price L0 = 105, L1 = 116, L2 = 111.(a) Find parameters u, d, the stock price at time T = 2, and a martingale measure˜P on (Ω, F2).(b) Compute the price process P a of this option using the recursive relationshipP at = max{(Lt − St)+, (1 + r)−1(˜pP aut+1 + (1 − ˜p)P adt+1)}with the terminal condition P a2 = (L2 − S2)+.(c) Find the holder’s rational exercise time τ ∗0 .

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Solution

The question you've asked is about the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) model, which is a method used to price European and American options. Here's how you can solve it:

(a) The parameters u and d are calculated as follows:

u = Su1/S0 = 120/100 = 1.2 d = Sd1/S0 = 90/100 = 0.9

The stock price at time T=2 can be calculated by multiplying the initial stock price by the up and down factors. Since there are two periods, there are three possible stock prices at time T=2: Su2 = Su1 * u = 120 * 1.2 = 144, Sd2 = Sd1 * d = 90 * 0.9 = 81, and Sdu2 = Su1 * d = 120 * 0.9 = 108.

The martingale measure ˜P is a probability measure under which the price process of a financial asset or derivative is a martingale. Since the interest rate r = 0, the risk-neutral probability measure is ˜p = (1 - d) / (u - d) = (1 - 0.9) / (1.2 - 0.9) = 1/3.

(b) The price process P a of the option can be computed using the recursive relationship given in the question. The terminal condition is P a2 = (L2 - S2)+.

P a2 = max{(L2 - S2)+, 0} = max{(111 - 144)+, (111 - 108)+, (111 - 81)+, 0} = max{-33, 3, 30, 0} = 0, 3, 30.

Then, we can calculate P a1:

P au1 = max{(L1 - Su1)+, (1 + r)−1(˜pP au2 + (1 − ˜p)P adu2)} = max{(116 - 120)+, (1/3 * 0 + 2/3 * 3)} = max{-4, 2} = 2 P ad1 = max{(L1 - Sd1)+, (1 + r)−1(˜pP adu2 + (1 − ˜p)P ad2)} = max{(116 - 90)+, (1/3 * 3 + 2/3 * 30)} = max{26, 21} = 26

Finally, we can calculate P a0:

P a0 = max{(L0 - S0)+, (1 + r)−1(˜pP au1 + (1 − ˜p)P ad1)} = max{(105 - 100)+, (1/3 * 2 + 2/3 * 26)} = max{5, 18} = 18

(c) The holder’s rational exercise time τ ∗0 is the first time t at which the holder should exercise the option, i.e., the first time t at which the payoff from exercising the option is greater than the expected payoff from continuing to hold the option. In this case, τ ∗0 = 1, because at time t = 1, the payoff from exercising the option (26 or 2) is greater than the expected payoff from continuing to hold the option (18).

This problem has been solved

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