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The share price must drop below $X for the short-sale to be profitable. The objective is to calculate $X. Opportunity cost forgone must be equal to the future values of dividends paid on 30 June and 30 Sept. The future values are calculated on 31 Oct. As such, the sum of the future values is: FV = 1e(0.05×4/12) + 1e(0.05×1/12) = 2.02 Thus, $X = 20 − 2.02 = $17.98 So, as long as the share price drops below $17.98 (say it is priced at $17 ) on 31 Oct, the short sale will be profitable. Comment: Usually we should also consider the time value of money associated with the $20. Assume that after you receive the $20, you will reinvest it at the risk-free rate, then by the end of October, you will have $20e0.05×1/2 = $20.51. In this case, your share price can drop to $18.49 and still make a profit. If we do not consider the time value of money, then the assumption you will make is that you will hold the $20 cash on hand till the end of October.

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The share price must drop below Xfortheshortsaletobeprofitable.TheobjectiveistocalculateX for the short-sale to be profitable. The objective is to calculate X. Opportunity cost forgone must be equal to the future values of dividends paid on 30 June and 30 Sept. The future values are calculated on 31 Oct. As such, the sum of the future values is: FV = 1e(0.05×4/12) + 1e(0.05×1/12) = 2.02 Thus, X=202.02=X = 20 − 2.02 = 17.98 So, as long as the share price drops below 17.98(sayitispricedat17.98 (say it is priced at 17 ) on 31 Oct, the short sale will be profitable. Comment: Usually we should also consider the time value of money associated with the 20.Assumethatafteryoureceivethe20. Assume that after you receive the 20, you will reinvest it at the risk-free rate, then by the end of October, you will have 20e0.05×1/2=20e0.05×1/2 = 20.51. In this case, your share price can drop to 18.49andstillmakeaprofit.Ifwedonotconsiderthetimevalueofmoney,thentheassumptionyouwillmakeisthatyouwillholdthe18.49 and still make a profit. If we do not consider the time value of money, then the assumption you will make is that you will hold the 20 cash on hand till the end of October.

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