Now suppose X = ( X1 + X2 ) / 2, where X1 and X2 are independent and P ( Xi = 1 ) = p, and P ( Xi = 0 ) = 1 − p where i can be 1 or 2. (a) Derive E( X ).(b) Derive var( X ).
Question
Now suppose X = ( X1 + X2 ) / 2, where X1 and X2 are independent and P ( Xi = 1 ) = p, and P ( Xi = 0 ) = 1 − p where i can be 1 or 2. (a) Derive E( X ).(b) Derive var( X ).
Solution
(a) Derive E(X)
The expected value E(X) of a random variable X is the sum of the product of each outcome and its probability.
Given X = (X1 + X2) / 2, we can find E(X) by finding the expected values of X1 and X2 and then averaging them, since X1 and X2 are independent.
E(X1) = 1p + 0(1-p) = p E(X2) = 1p + 0(1-p) = p
So, E(X) = (E(X1) + E(X2)) / 2 = (p + p) / 2 = p
(b) Derive var(X)
The variance var(X) of a random variable X measures how spread out the numbers are from their expected value.
Given X = (X1 + X2) / 2, we can find var(X) by finding the variances of X1 and X2 and then averaging them, since X1 and X2 are independent.
var(X1) = E(X1^2) - (E(X1))^2 = [1^2p + 0^2(1-p)] - p^2 = p - p^2 var(X2) = E(X2^2) - (E(X2))^2 = [1^2p + 0^2(1-p)] - p^2 = p - p^2
So, var(X) = (var(X1) + var(X2)) / 2^2 = (p - p^2 + p - p^2) / 4 = (2p - 2p^2) / 4 = p/2 - p^2/2
Therefore, E(X) = p and var(X) = p/2 - p^2/2.
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