A firm wants to open a new coal mine. The price of coal is very volatile and the projected profits over the next five years are N$100,000, N$250,000, N$10,000, N$200,000, and N$50,000 respectively. After that profits will be a constant Rs. 150,000 per year for the next 20 years at which time the mine closes. If 7% is the appropriate discount rate for the first five years and 8% after that, what is the present value of the mine?
Question
A firm wants to open a new coal mine. The price of coal is very volatile and the projected profits over the next five years are N250,000, N200,000, and N$50,000 respectively. After that profits will be a constant Rs. 150,000 per year for the next 20 years at which time the mine closes. If 7% is the appropriate discount rate for the first five years and 8% after that, what is the present value of the mine?
Solution 1
To calculate the present value of the mine, we need to discount the projected profits back to today's value using the appropriate discount rate.
Step 1: Calculate the present value for the first five years.
Year 1: N93,457.94 Year 2: N218,340.61 Year 3: N8,353.21 Year 4: N162,745.78 Year 5: N37,690.46
Add these up to get the total present value for the first five years: N$520,588
Step 2: Calculate the present value for the next 20 years.
Since the profits are constant, we can use the formula for the present value of a perpetuity: PV = C / r, where C is the cash flow per period and r is the discount rate.
However, since the mine closes after 20 years, we need to adjust this formula to account for the fact that the cash flows stop after a certain period. This is done by multiplying the perpetuity by (1 - (1 + r)^-n), where n is the number of periods.
So, the present value for the next 20 years is:
PV = N1,678,648
Step 3: Add the present values from step 1 and step 2 to get the total present value of the mine:
PV = N1,678,648 = N$2,199,236
So, the present value of the mine is approximately N$2,199,236.
Solution 2
To calculate the present value of the mine, we need to discount the projected profits back to today's value using the appropriate discount rate.
Step 1: Calculate the present value for the first five years.
Year 1: N93,457.94 Year 2: N218,340.61 Year 3: N8,353.21 Year 4: N162,601.83 Year 5: N38,872.71
Add these up to get the total present value for the first five years: N$521,626.30
Step 2: Calculate the present value for the next 20 years.
Since the profits are constant, we can use the formula for the present value of a perpetuity: PV = C / r, where C is the cash flow per period and r is the discount rate.
However, since the mine closes after 20 years, we need to adjust the formula to account for this. The adjusted formula is: PV = C * (1 - (1 + r)^-n) / r, where n is the number of periods.
So, the present value for the next 20 years is: N1,675,676.14
Step 3: Add the present values from step 1 and step 2 to get the total present value of the mine: N1,675,676.14 = N$2,197,302.44
So, the present value of the mine is approximately N$2,197,302.44.
Solution 3
To calculate the present value of the mine, we need to discount the projected profits back to today's value using the appropriate discount rate.
Step 1: Calculate the present value of the profits for the first five years.
Year 1: N93,457.94 Year 2: N218,579.23 Year 3: N8,353.21 Year 4: N162,601.83 Year 5: N37,690.46
Add these up to get the total present value for the first five years: N$520,682.67
Step 2: Calculate the present value of the profits for the next 20 years.
Since the profits are a constant N$150,000 per year for the next 20 years, we can use the formula for the present value of a perpetuity:
PV = C / r where C is the constant cash flow (N$150,000) and r is the discount rate (8% or 0.08).
However, since the perpetuity starts 5 years from now, we need to discount it back to today's value. So the present value of the perpetuity is:
PV = (N1,410,257.13
Step 3: Add the present values from Step 1 and Step 2 to get the total present value of the mine:
PV = N1,410,257.13 = N$1,930,939.80
So, the present value of the mine is approximately N$1,930,939.80.
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