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Shuttle bus which links the Clayton campus to the Caulfied campus starts operating at 5:00 am and will have a service every half hour. Suppose that none of the seats on the bus are completely occupied and that there is always some room for passengers. A student who wants to travel to Caulfied arrives at the bus stop at a (uniform) random time between 8:45 am and 9:45 am. What is the probability that he/she waits at most 10 minutes? Write down your answer to an accuracy of 2 decimal points.

Question

Shuttle bus which links the Clayton campus to the Caulfied campus starts operating at 5:00 am and will have a service every half hour. Suppose that none of the seats on the bus are completely occupied and that there is always some room for passengers. A student who wants to travel to Caulfied arrives at the bus stop at a (uniform) random time between 8:45 am and 9:45 am. What is the probability that he/she waits at most 10 minutes? Write down your answer to an accuracy of 2 decimal points.

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Solution 1

The student arrives at a random time between 8:45 am and 9:45 am, which is a 60-minute window. The bus arrives every 30 minutes, so within this 60-minute window, there will be two bus arrivals.

The student wants to wait at most 10 minutes. This means that if the student arrives within 10 minutes before the bus arrives, he/she will wait at most 10 minutes. Since there are two bus arrivals within the 60-minute window, there are two 10-minute windows in which the student can arrive and wait at most 10 minutes.

Therefore, the total time in which the student can arrive and wait at most 10 minutes is 2 * 10 = 20 minutes.

The probability that the student waits at most 10 minutes is the ratio of the time in which the student can arrive and wait at most 10 minutes to the total time window:

Probability = (Time in which student can arrive and wait at most 10 minutes) / (Total time window) = (20 minutes) / (60 minutes) = 0.33 (rounded to two decimal places)

So, the probability that the student waits at most 10 minutes is approximately 0.33, or 33%.

This problem has been solved

Solution 2

The student arrives at a random time between 8:45 am and 9:45 am, which is a 60-minute window. The bus arrives every 30 minutes, so within this 60-minute window, there will be two bus arrivals.

The student wants to wait at most 10 minutes. This means that if the student arrives within 10 minutes before the bus arrival, he/she will wait at most 10 minutes. Since there are two bus arrivals within the 60-minute window, there are two 10-minute windows in which the student can arrive and wait at most 10 minutes.

Therefore, the probability that the student waits at most 10 minutes is the total time in which the student can arrive and wait at most 10 minutes divided by the total time window:

P(wait at most 10 minutes) = (10 minutes + 10 minutes) / 60 minutes = 20 / 60 = 0.33

So, the probability that the student waits at most 10 minutes is approximately 0.33, or 33%, to an accuracy of 2 decimal points.

This problem has been solved

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