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For a particular bank's security system, the first alarm has a 95% chance of working while the second alarm has an 82% chance of working.   Use this information to answer questions #11 - 12.11)  Find the probability that BOTH alarms will work.        1 pointYour answer12)  Find the probability that AT LEAST one alarm will work.1 point

Question

For a particular bank's security system, the first alarm has a 95% chance of working while the second alarm has an 82% chance of working.   Use this information to answer questions #11 - 12.11)  Find the probability that BOTH alarms will work.        1 pointYour answer12)  Find the probability that AT LEAST one alarm will work.1 point

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Solution

  1. Para encontrar la probabilidad de que AMBAS alarmas funcionen, multiplicamos las probabilidades individuales de que cada alarma funcione:

P(Ambas alarmas funcionen)=P(Primera alarma funcione)×P(Segunda alarma funcione) P(\text{Ambas alarmas funcionen}) = P(\text{Primera alarma funcione}) \times P(\text{Segunda alarma funcione})

P(Ambas alarmas funcionen)=0.95×0.82 P(\text{Ambas alarmas funcionen}) = 0.95 \times 0.82

P(Ambas alarmas funcionen)=0.779 P(\text{Ambas alarmas funcionen}) = 0.779

Por lo tanto, la probabilidad de que ambas alarmas funcionen es 0.779 o 77.9%.

  1. Para encontrar la probabilidad de que AL MENOS una alarma funcione, primero calculamos la probabilidad de que ninguna alarma funcione y luego restamos ese valor de 1.

La probabilidad de que la primera alarma NO funcione es 10.95=0.051 - 0.95 = 0.05.

La probabilidad de que la segunda alarma NO funcione es 10.82=0.181 - 0.82 = 0.18.

La probabilidad de que ninguna alarma funcione es:

P(Ninguna alarma funcione)=P(Primera alarma no funcione)×P(Segunda alarma no funcione) P(\text{Ninguna alarma funcione}) = P(\text{Primera alarma no funcione}) \times P(\text{Segunda alarma no funcione})

P(Ninguna alarma funcione)=0.05×0.18 P(\text{Ninguna alarma funcione}) = 0.05 \times 0.18

P(Ninguna alarma funcione)=0.009 P(\text{Ninguna alarma funcione}) = 0.009

Por lo tanto, la probabilidad de que al menos una alarma funcione es:

P(Al menos una alarma funcione)=1P(Ninguna alarma funcione) P(\text{Al menos una alarma funcione}) = 1 - P(\text{Ninguna alarma funcione})

P(Al menos una alarma funcione)=10.009 P(\text{Al menos una alarma funcione}) = 1 - 0.009

P(Al menos una alarma funcione)=0.991 P(\text{Al menos una alarma funcione}) = 0.991

Por lo tanto, la probabilidad de que al menos una alarma funcione es 0.991 o 99.1%.

This problem has been solved

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