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Financial markets have been studied closely over the last century. Which of the following facts can we most likely conclude from financial markets over time?Group of answer choicesReturns on less risky assets have been lower on average that returns on more risky assetsThe real interest rate has been slightly negative on averageReturns on risky assets are highly uncorrelated with each otherPast performance is a good indication of future performanceWe can conclude that all of the facts listed here as answers are correct PreviousNext

Question

Financial markets have been studied closely over the last century. Which of the following facts can we most likely conclude from financial markets over time?Group of answer choicesReturns on less risky assets have been lower on average that returns on more risky assetsThe real interest rate has been slightly negative on averageReturns on risky assets are highly uncorrelated with each otherPast performance is a good indication of future performanceWe can conclude that all of the facts listed here as answers are correct PreviousNext

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Solution

The most likely conclusion from studying financial markets over time is that "Returns on less risky assets have been lower on average than returns on more risky assets."

This is a fundamental principle of finance known as the risk-return tradeoff, which states that the potential return rises with an increase in risk. Low levels of uncertainty (low-risk investments) are associated with low potential returns, whereas high levels of uncertainty (high-risk investments) are associated with high potential returns.

The other options are generally not accurate:

  • The real interest rate has not been slightly negative on average. While it can fluctuate, it's typically positive.
  • Returns on risky assets are not highly uncorrelated with each other. In fact, they often move in the same direction.
  • Past performance is not a good indication of future performance. This is a common disclaimer in the investment world because there are so many variables that can affect future performance.
  • Therefore, we cannot conclude that all of the facts listed here as answers are correct.

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