Consider four different financial products you can invest in: 1. A 12-month certificate of deposit that earns 2% annual interest. 2. A par 1-year risk-free bond with a 2% annual coupon. 3. A par 1-year risky bond with a 3.5% annual coupon. 4. A $100 per share value stock that typically pays a 2–4% dividend annually. Question 3 Which of these has the highest expected return? State at least 2 reasons WHY you selected one or more securities OR why you did NOT select the other one/ones.
Question
Consider four different financial products you can invest in:
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A 12-month certificate of deposit that earns 2% annual interest.
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A par 1-year risk-free bond with a 2% annual coupon.
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A par 1-year risky bond with a 3.5% annual coupon.
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A $100 per share value stock that typically pays a 2–4% dividend annually.
Question 3 Which of these has the highest expected return? State at least 2 reasons WHY you selected one or more securities OR why you did NOT select the other one/ones.
Solution
The financial product with the highest expected return among the four options is the 1-year risky bond with a 3.5% annual coupon. Here are two reasons why:
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Higher Interest Rate: The 1-year risky bond has a higher annual coupon rate (3.5%) compared to the other options. The 12-month certificate of deposit and the 1-year risk-free bond both have an annual interest rate of 2%, and the stock pays a dividend of 2-4%. Therefore, all else being equal, the risky bond will provide a higher return.
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Risk Premium: The risky bond offers a higher return to compensate for the additional risk taken on by the investor. This is known as a risk premium. The risk-free bond, as the name suggests, carries no risk, so its return is lower. The certificate of deposit is also a low-risk product, so it too has a lower return. The stock's return is variable and could potentially be higher than the risky bond's return, but it is not guaranteed.
However, it's important to note that while the risky bond has the highest expected return, it also carries the highest risk. If the issuer of the bond defaults, the investor could lose their entire investment. Therefore, while the potential return is higher, so is the potential loss. This is a key consideration when choosing between different investment options.
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