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Suppose that the handedness of the last fifteen U.S. presidents is as follows:40% were left-handed (L)47% were Democrats (D)If a president is left-handed, there is a 13% chance that the president is a Democrat.Based on this information on the last fifteen U.S. presidents, is “being left-handed” independent of “being a Democrat”? No, since 0.47 is not equal to 0.13. No, since 0.40 is not equal to 0.13. Yes, since 0.40 * 0.47 is not equal to 0.13. Yes, since 0.47 is not equal to 0.13.

Question

Suppose that the handedness of the last fifteen U.S. presidents is as follows:40% were left-handed (L)47% were Democrats (D)If a president is left-handed, there is a 13% chance that the president is a Democrat.Based on this information on the last fifteen U.S. presidents, is “being left-handed” independent of “being a Democrat”? No, since 0.47 is not equal to 0.13. No, since 0.40 is not equal to 0.13. Yes, since 0.40 * 0.47 is not equal to 0.13. Yes, since 0.47 is not equal to 0.13.

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Solution 1

The concept of independence in probability means that the probability of one event does not affect the probability of another event. In this case, we are looking at the events "being left-handed" and "being a Democrat".

The probability of a president being left-handed is 40% or 0.40. The probability of a president being a Democrat is 47% or 0.47. If these two events were independent, then the probability of both events occurring would be the product of their individual probabilities. That is, P(L and D) = P(L) * P(D) = 0.40 * 0.47 = 0.188.

However, we are given that the probability of a president being a Democrat given that they are left-handed is 13% or 0.13. This is the conditional probability P(D|L), not the joint probability P(L and D).

If "being left-handed" and "being a Democrat" were independent, then P(D|L) would be equal to P(D), which is not the case here (0.13 ≠ 0.47). Therefore, "being left-handed" is not independent of "being a Democrat". So, the correct answer is "No, since 0.47 is not equal to 0.13."

This problem has been solved

Solution 2

Two events are independent if the probability of both events occurring is the product of the probabilities of each event occurring. In this case, if being left-handed (L) and being a Democrat (D) were independent, then the probability of a president being both left-handed and a Democrat (P(L and D)) would be the product of the probabilities of each event (P(L) * P(D)).

Given the information:

P(L) = 0.40 (40% of the presidents were left-handed) P(D) = 0.47 (47% of the presidents were Democrats) P(L and D) = 0.13 (13% chance that a left-handed president is a Democrat)

If L and D were independent, P(L and D) would be P(L) * P(D) = 0.40 * 0.47 = 0.188. However, P(L and D) is given as 0.13, not 0.188.

Therefore, being left-handed is not independent of being a Democrat. The correct answer is "No, since 0.40 * 0.47 is not equal to 0.13."

This problem has been solved

Similar Questions

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