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Consider the following table, which gives a security analyst’s expected return on two stocks intwo particular scenarios for the rate of return on the market:Market Return Aggressive Stock Defensive Stock5% −2% 6%25 38 12a. What are the betas of the two stocks?b. What is the expected rate of return on each stock if the two scenarios for the market returnare equally likely?c. If the T-bill rate is 6% and the market return is equally likely to be 5% or 25%, draw the SMLfor this economy.d. Plot the two securities on the SML graph. What are the alphas of each?e. What hurdle rate should be used by the management of the aggressive firm for a project withthe risk characteristics of the defensive firm’s stock?

Question

Consider the following table, which gives a security analyst’s expected return on two stocks intwo particular scenarios for the rate of return on the market:Market Return Aggressive Stock Defensive Stock5% −2% 6%25 38 12a. What are the betas of the two stocks?b. What is the expected rate of return on each stock if the two scenarios for the market returnare equally likely?c. If the T-bill rate is 6% and the market return is equally likely to be 5% or 25%, draw the SMLfor this economy.d. Plot the two securities on the SML graph. What are the alphas of each?e. What hurdle rate should be used by the management of the aggressive firm for a project withthe risk characteristics of the defensive firm’s stock?

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Solution

Sure, let's break down each question:

a. The beta of a stock is a measure of its sensitivity to the overall market movements. It can be calculated by dividing the covariance of the stock's return with the market return by the variance of the market return. However, in this case, we don't have enough data to calculate the betas directly.

b. The expected rate of return on each stock, if the two scenarios for the market return are equally likely, can be calculated by taking the average of the two given returns for each stock. For the aggressive stock, the expected return would be (−2% + 38%) / 2 = 18%. For the defensive stock, the expected return would be (6% + 12%) / 2 = 9%.

c. The Security Market Line (SML) is a line that graphs the systematic, or market, risk versus return of the whole market at a certain time. It shows the expected return of the market at different levels of systematic or market risk. To draw the SML, we need the risk-free rate (T-bill rate, 6% in this case) and the market return (which is equally likely to be 5% or 25%, so we take the average, 15%). The SML would then be a line that starts at 6% on the y-axis (risk-free rate) and goes through the point representing the market return (15%).

d. To plot the two securities on the SML graph, we need their expected returns and betas. We calculated the expected returns in part b, but without the betas, we can't plot the securities. The alpha of a security is the difference between its actual return and the return predicted by the SML. Without the betas, we can't calculate the alphas either.

e. The hurdle rate is the minimum rate of return on a project that a company is willing to accept before starting a project. If the management of the aggressive firm wants to use a project with the risk characteristics of the defensive firm’s stock, they should use the expected return of the defensive stock as the hurdle rate, which we calculated as 9% in part b.

This problem has been solved

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