Four persons are chosen from a group containing 3 men, 2 women and 4 children. Show thatthe chance that exactly two of them will be children is 10/21.
Question
Four persons are chosen from a group containing 3 men, 2 women and 4 children. Show thatthe chance that exactly two of them will be children is 10/21.
Solution 1
To solve this problem, we need to use the concept of combinations in probability.
Step 1: Calculate the total number of ways to choose 4 persons from a group of 9 (3 men, 2 women, and 4 children). This can be done using the combination formula C(n, r) = n! / [(n-r)!r!], where n is the total number of items, and r is the number of items to choose.
So, the total number of ways to choose 4 persons from 9 is C(9, 4) = 9! / [(9-4)!4!] = 126.
Step 2: Calculate the number of ways to choose exactly 2 children from 4. This is C(4, 2) = 4! / [(4-2)!2!] = 6.
Step 3: Calculate the number of ways to choose the remaining 2 persons from the 5 adults (3 men and 2 women). This is C(5, 2) = 5! / [(5-2)!2!] = 10.
Step 4: Multiply the results of steps 2 and 3 to get the number of ways to choose exactly 2 children and 2 adults. This is 6 * 10 = 60.
Step 5: The probability that exactly two of the chosen persons will be children is the number of ways to choose exactly 2 children and 2 adults (from step 4) divided by the total number of ways to choose 4 persons (from step 1). This is 60 / 126 = 10 / 21.
Therefore, the chance that exactly two of the chosen persons will be children is 10/21.
Solution 2
To solve this problem, we need to use the concept of combinations in probability.
Step 1: Calculate the total number of ways to choose 4 persons from a group of 9 (3 men, 2 women, 4 children). This can be done using the combination formula C(n, r) = n! / [(n-r)!r!], where n is the total number of items, r is the number of items to choose, and '!' denotes factorial.
So, total ways = C(9, 4) = 9! / [(9-4)!4!] = 126
Step 2: Calculate the number of ways to choose exactly 2 children from 4. This is done using the same combination formula.
Ways to choose 2 children = C(4, 2) = 4! / [(4-2)!2!] = 6
Step 3: Calculate the number of ways to choose the remaining 2 persons from the 5 adults (3 men and 2 women).
Ways to choose 2 adults = C(5, 2) = 5! / [(5-2)!2!] = 10
Step 4: The total number of ways to choose exactly 2 children and 2 adults is the product of the number of ways to choose 2 children and the number of ways to choose 2 adults.
Total ways to choose 2 children and 2 adults = 6 * 10 = 60
Step 5: The probability that exactly two of the chosen persons will be children is the number of ways to choose 2 children and 2 adults divided by the total number of ways to choose 4 persons.
Probability = 60 / 126 = 10 / 21
So, the chance that exactly two of them will be children is 10/21.
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