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Transform the following ARMA(1,1) model into a MA(โˆž) model. What is the requiredcondition on the parameters ๐œ™๐œ™ and ๐œƒ๐œƒ for the transformation to work? (8 points)๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘ก = ๐œ™๐œ™๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘กโˆ’1 + ๐‘Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘ก + ๐œƒ๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘กโˆ’1.

Question

Transform the following ARMA(1,1) model into a MA(โˆž) model. What is the requiredcondition on the parameters ๐œ™๐œ™ and ๐œƒ๐œƒ for the transformation to work? (8 points)๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘ก = ๐œ™๐œ™๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘กโˆ’1 + ๐‘Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘ก + ๐œƒ๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘กโˆ’1.

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Solution

The ARMA(1,1) model is given by:

rt = ฯ†rt-1 + at + ฮธat-1

We want to transform this into a MA(โˆž) model. The MA(โˆž) model is a moving average model of infinite order, which can be represented as:

rt = ฮฃ (ฯˆi * at-i) from i=0 to โˆž

Step 1: Substitute the AR part of the ARMA model into the model itself iteratively.

rt = ฯ†rt-1 + at + ฮธat-1 = ฯ†(ฯ†rt-2 + at-1 + ฮธat-2) + at + ฮธat-1 = ฯ†^2rt-2 + ฯ†at-1 + ฯ†ฮธat-2 + at + ฮธat-1 = ฯ†^3rt-3 + ฯ†^2at-2 + ฯ†^2ฮธat-3 + ฯ†at-1 + ฯ†ฮธat-2 + at + ฮธat-1 = ...

Step 2: Continue this process indefinitely.

rt = ฮฃ (ฯ†^i * at-i) + ฮฃ (ฯ†^(i-1) * ฮธ * at-i) from i=1 to โˆž

Step 3: Combine the two summations.

rt = ฮฃ [ฯ†^i * at-i + ฯ†^(i-1) * ฮธ * at-i] from i=1 to โˆž

Step 4: Recognize this as a MA(โˆž) model.

rt = ฮฃ (ฯˆi * at-i) from i=0 to โˆž

where ฯˆi = ฯ†^i + ฯ†^(i-1) * ฮธ

The required condition on the parameters ฯ† and ฮธ for the transformation to work is that the absolute value of ฯ† is less than 1. This is because for the infinite series to converge (which is necessary for the model to make sense), the terms ฯ†^i * at-i and ฯ†^(i-1) * ฮธ * at-i must get smaller and smaller as i increases. This will only happen if -1 < ฯ† < 1.

This problem has been solved

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