SgNews, an all-news radio station, finds that the duration listeners are tuned to the stations follows a normal distribution. The mean of distribution is 15 mins and the standard deviation is 3.5 mins. What is the probability that a particular listener will tune in: a) More than 20 min? b) For 20 min or less? c) Between 10 and 12 min?
Question
SgNews, an all-news radio station, finds that the duration listeners are tuned to the stations follows a normal distribution. The mean of distribution is 15 mins and the standard deviation is 3.5 mins. What is the probability that a particular listener will tune in: a) More than 20 min? b) For 20 min or less? c) Between 10 and 12 min?
Solution
To solve these problems, we will use the properties of the normal distribution and the concept of z-scores. A z-score measures how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. The formula to calculate a z-score is:
Z = (X - μ) / σ
where: X is the value from the dataset, μ is the mean of the dataset, σ is the standard deviation of the dataset.
a) More than 20 min?
First, we calculate the z-score for 20 minutes:
Z = (20 - 15) / 3.5 = 1.43
We then look up this z-score in the z-table, which gives us the probability that a value is less than 20 minutes. The value for 1.43 in the z-table is 0.9236. However, we want the probability that a listener will tune in for more than 20 minutes, so we subtract the value from 1:
P(X > 20) = 1 - P(X < 20) = 1 - 0.9236 = 0.0764
So, the probability that a listener will tune in for more than 20 minutes is 0.0764, or 7.64%.
b) For 20 min or less?
We already found the probability that a listener will tune in for less than 20 minutes when we looked up the z-score in the z-table. So, the probability that a listener will tune in for 20 minutes or less is 0.9236, or 92.36%.
c) Between 10 and 12 min?
First, we calculate the z-scores for 10 and 12 minutes:
Z(10) = (10 - 15) / 3.5 = -1.43 Z(12) = (12 - 15) / 3.5 = -0.86
We then look up these z-scores in the z-table. The value for -1.43 is 0.0764 and the value for -0.86 is 0.1949. To find the probability that a listener will tune in for between 10 and 12 minutes, we subtract the two probabilities:
P(10 < X < 12) = P(X < 12) - P(X < 10) = 0.1949 - 0.0764 = 0.1185
So, the probability that a listener will tune in for between 10 and 12 minutes is 0.1185, or 11.85%.
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