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The current price of a stock is $55.68. If dividends are expected to be $0.80 per share forthe next five years, and the required return is 6%, then what should the price of the stockbe in 5 years when you plan to sell it? If the dividend and required return remain thesame, and the stock price is expected to increase by $1 five years from now, does thecurrent stock price also increase by $1? Why or why not

Question

The current price of a stock is 55.68.Ifdividendsareexpectedtobe55.68. If dividends are expected to be 0.80 per share forthe next five years, and the required return is 6%, then what should the price of the stockbe in 5 years when you plan to sell it? If the dividend and required return remain thesame, and the stock price is expected to increase by 1fiveyearsfromnow,doesthecurrentstockpricealsoincreaseby1 five years from now, does thecurrent stock price also increase by 1? Why or why not

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Solution

  1. To calculate the price of the stock in 5 years, we can use the Gordon Growth Model, which is a version of the dividend discount model. It assumes that dividends grow at a constant rate and calculates the price of a stock based on the present value of its future dividends. The formula is:

P = D / (r - g)

Where: P = price of the stock D = dividends per share r = required rate of return g = growth rate of dividends

In this case, the dividends are constant, so the growth rate is 0. Therefore, the formula simplifies to:

P = D / r

Substituting the given values into the formula:

P = $0.80 / 0.06

P = $13.33

So, the price of the stock should be $13.33 in 5 years.

  1. If the dividend and required return remain the same, and the stock price is expected to increase by 1fiveyearsfromnow,thecurrentstockpricedoesnotnecessarilyincreaseby1 five years from now, the current stock price does not necessarily increase by 1. This is because the current stock price is determined by the present value of its expected future cash flows (dividends and the sale price in 5 years), discounted at the required rate of return. If the future sale price increases, the present value of that future cash flow also increases, but not by the full 1becauseitisdiscountedbacktoitspresentvalue.Theincreaseinthecurrentstockpricewouldbelessthan1 because it is discounted back to its present value. The increase in the current stock price would be less than 1, depending on the required rate of return and the time period.

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