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How to compute Confidence Interval for the proportion?Question. Ask ChatGPT to give an example.

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How to compute Confidence Interval for the proportion?Question. Ask ChatGPT to give an example.

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Solution

To compute the confidence interval for a proportion, you can follow these steps:

Step 1: Determine the sample proportion (p-hat) by dividing the number of successes (x) by the total sample size (n).

Step 2: Calculate the standard error (SE) using the formula SE = sqrt((p-hat * (1 - p-hat)) / n), where sqrt represents the square root.

Step 3: Choose the desired level of confidence, typically denoted as (1 - α), where α is the significance level. Common choices are 90%, 95%, or 99% confidence.

Step 4: Look up the critical value (z*) corresponding to the chosen confidence level. This value can be found in a standard normal distribution table or using statistical software.

Step 5: Compute the margin of error (ME) by multiplying the critical value (z*) by the standard error (SE). ME = z* * SE.

Step 6: Calculate the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval. The lower bound is given by p-hat - ME, and the upper bound is given by p-hat + ME.

For example, let's say you conducted a survey and found that out of 200 respondents, 120 said they prefer tea over coffee. To compute the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of people who prefer tea, you would follow these steps:

Step 1: Calculate the sample proportion: p-hat = 120/200 = 0.6.

Step 2: Calculate the standard error: SE = sqrt((0.6 * (1 - 0.6)) / 200) ≈ 0.0346.

Step 3: Choose the confidence level: 95% confidence corresponds to α = 0.05.

Step 4: Look up the critical value: For a 95% confidence level, the critical value (z*) is approximately 1.96.

Step 5: Compute the margin of error: ME = 1.96 * 0.0346 ≈ 0.0678.

Step 6: Calculate the confidence interval: The lower bound is 0.6 - 0.0678 ≈ 0.5322, and the upper bound is 0.6 + 0.0678 ≈ 0.6678.

Therefore, the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of people who prefer tea is approximately 0.5322 to 0.6678.

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