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You have a data set consisting of the sales prices of houses in your neighborhood, with each sale time-stamped by the month and year in which the house sold. You want to predict the average value of houses in your neighborhood over time, so you fit a simple regression model with average house price as the output and the time index (in months) as the input. Based on 10 months of data, the estimated intercept is $4569 and the estimated slope is 143 ($/month). If you extrapolate this trend forward in time, at which time index (in months) do you predict that your neighborhood's value will have doubled relative to the value at month (index) 10?Please enter a number below, round to the nearest month.

Question

You have a data set consisting of the sales prices of houses in your neighborhood, with each sale time-stamped by the month and year in which the house sold. You want to predict the average value of houses in your neighborhood over time, so you fit a simple regression model with average house price as the output and the time index (in months) as the input. Based on 10 months of data, the estimated intercept is 4569andtheestimatedslopeis143(4569 and the estimated slope is 143 (/month). If you extrapolate this trend forward in time, at which time index (in months) do you predict that your neighborhood's value will have doubled relative to the value at month (index) 10?Please enter a number below, round to the nearest month.

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Solution

To solve this problem, we first need to find the value of the house at month 10. We can use the equation of a line, which is y = mx + b, where m is the slope, x is the time index, and b is the intercept.

For month 10, the value of the house (y) would be:

y = 143 * 10 + 4569 = 1430 + 4569 = 5999

We want to find the time index (x) at which the value of the house is double this amount, i.e., 2 * 5999 = 11998.

We can rearrange the equation of the line to solve for x:

x = (y - b) / m

Substituting the values we have:

x = (11998 - 4569) / 143 = 519.16

Rounding to the nearest month, we get 519 months. So, we predict that the neighborhood's value will have doubled relative to the value at month 10 in 519 months.

This problem has been solved

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