According to Lovallo and Sibony, which one of the following statements best describes the cognitive bias likely to be exhibited by management when making large and unique decisions: Select one: a. Errors resulting in gains and losses can be expected to cancel out making decisions based on the probability weighted expected outcome optimal. b. Rules of thumb can be learned through repeated experience causing decisions based on a rule of thumb to be unreliable. c. Excessive profit aversion causes individual managers to reject projects otherwise desirable to the organisation as a whole. d. Excessive optimism causes management to overestimate forecasted benefits and underestimate challenges when choosing a strategy.
Question
According to Lovallo and Sibony, which one of the following statements best describes the cognitive bias likely to be exhibited by management when making large and unique decisions:
Select one:
a. Errors resulting in gains and losses can be expected to cancel out making decisions based on the probability weighted expected outcome optimal.
b. Rules of thumb can be learned through repeated experience causing decisions based on a rule of thumb to be unreliable.
c. Excessive profit aversion causes individual managers to reject projects otherwise desirable to the organisation as a whole.
d. Excessive optimism causes management to overestimate forecasted benefits and underestimate challenges when choosing a strategy.
Solution
d. Excessive optimism causes management to overestimate forecasted benefits and underestimate challenges when choosing a strategy.
Explanation: According to Lovallo and Sibony, management often exhibits cognitive bias when making large and unique decisions. This bias can lead to excessive optimism, causing management to overestimate the benefits of a decision and underestimate the potential challenges or risks. This can result in poor strategic choices and potential losses for the organization.
Similar Questions
Which of the following is a source of bias that can adversely affect the way managers make decisions?Multiple Choicedialectical inquiryescalating commitmentbounded rationalityeconomic feasibilityreasoned judgments
nalyze how cognitive biases such as overconfidence, confirmation bias, and escalation of commitment influence the decision-making processes of entrepreneurs, and propose techniques for mitigating these biases to enhance the quality of entrepreneurial decision-making and risk management
Which bias occurs when individuals place too much importance on the first piece of information they receive when making decisions?Choices:- Confirmation bias Anchoring bias Overconfidence bias Framing bias
How does the confirmation bias affect decision-making in organizations?It promotes the consideration of diverse viewpoints.It leads individuals to seek out and prioritize information that confirms their pre-existing beliefs.It ensures that decisions are made based on factual data.It encourages managers to frequently change their opinions
How can managers avoid the negative effects of decision errors and biases?A.By being aware of their biases and the heuristics they typically use when making decisionsB.By asking their friend’s opinions for input on decisionsC.By following their gut and not allowing for any subsequent information to change that opinionD.By only listening to recent events of what is available and ignoring everything else
Upgrade your grade with Knowee
Get personalized homework help. Review tough concepts in more detail, or go deeper into your topic by exploring other relevant questions.