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CL bookstore just paid a dividend of D0 = $1.35. Analysts expect the company’s dividend togrow by 30% this year, by 10% in year 2, and a constant rate of 5% in year 3 and thereafter. Therequired return on this low-risk stock is 9.00%. What is the best estimate of the stock’s currentmarket value?

Question

CL bookstore just paid a dividend of D0 = $1.35. Analysts expect the company’s dividend togrow by 30% this year, by 10% in year 2, and a constant rate of 5% in year 3 and thereafter. Therequired return on this low-risk stock is 9.00%. What is the best estimate of the stock’s currentmarket value?

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Solution

To estimate the stock's current market value, we need to calculate the present value of all future dividends. Here's how to do it:

  1. Calculate the dividends for the first three years:

    • For the first year, the dividend (D1) is 1.351.30=1.35 * 1.30 = 1.755.
    • For the second year, the dividend (D2) is 1.7551.10=1.755 * 1.10 = 1.9305.
    • For the third year and thereafter, the dividend (D3) grows at a constant rate of 5%. So, the dividend for the third year is 1.93051.05=1.9305 * 1.05 = 2.027025.
  2. Calculate the present value of the dividends for the first two years:

    • The present value of the first year's dividend is D1 / (1 + r) = 1.755/(1+0.09)=1.755 / (1 + 0.09) = 1.61.
    • The present value of the second year's dividend is D2 / (1 + r)^2 = 1.9305/(1+0.09)2=1.9305 / (1 + 0.09)^2 = 1.62.
  3. Calculate the present value of the dividends for the third year and thereafter. This is a perpetuity that starts in year 3, so we use the formula for the present value of a growing perpetuity: D3 / (r - g) / (1 + r)^2 = 2.027025/(0.090.05)/(1+0.09)2=2.027025 / (0.09 - 0.05) / (1 + 0.09)^2 = 50.68.

  4. Add up the present values of the dividends to get the current market value of the stock: 1.61+1.61 + 1.62 + 50.68=50.68 = 53.91.

So, the best estimate of the stock's current market value is $53.91.

This problem has been solved

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