Which of the following statement(s) is (are) TRUE?Select one or more alternatives:Investing in a country with a higher interest rate does not secure higher returns because the currency in a high-interest-rate country is expected to depreciate and reduce the profit.The law of one price means that the return from a dollar invested in home currency should be equivalent to the return from a dollar invested in foreign currency together with a long home currency forward contract, if the covered interest rate parity (CIP) condition holds.If the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) condition holds then it is possible to profit using a carry trade (by borrowing in a low interest rate currency and investing in a high interest rate currency).Forward rate is an unbiased predictor of future spot rate if covered interest rate parity condition holds.
Question
Which of the following statement(s) is (are) TRUE?Select one or more alternatives:Investing in a country with a higher interest rate does not secure higher returns because the currency in a high-interest-rate country is expected to depreciate and reduce the profit.The law of one price means that the return from a dollar invested in home currency should be equivalent to the return from a dollar invested in foreign currency together with a long home currency forward contract, if the covered interest rate parity (CIP) condition holds.If the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) condition holds then it is possible to profit using a carry trade (by borrowing in a low interest rate currency and investing in a high interest rate currency).Forward rate is an unbiased predictor of future spot rate if covered interest rate parity condition holds.
Solution
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The first statement is generally TRUE. Investing in a country with a higher interest rate does not necessarily secure higher returns. This is because the currency in a high-interest-rate country is often expected to depreciate, which can reduce the profit from the investment.
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The second statement is TRUE. The law of one price implies that the return from a dollar invested in home currency should be equivalent to the return from a dollar invested in foreign currency together with a long home currency forward contract, if the covered interest rate parity (CIP) condition holds.
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The third statement is FALSE. If the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) condition holds, it is not possible to profit using a carry trade. UIP implies that the difference in interest rates between two countries is equal to the expected change in exchange rates. If UIP holds, the expected depreciation or appreciation of the currencies would offset the interest rate differential, eliminating the opportunity for carry trade profits.
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The fourth statement is FALSE. The forward rate being an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate is a condition of the unbiased expectation theory, not the covered interest rate parity. Covered interest rate parity implies that the forward premium or discount on the foreign currency is equal to the interest rate differential between the two countries, but it does not necessarily mean that the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate.
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