Consider a long position in a two-years forward contract. The underlying asset is gold which incurs a net storage and security cost of 2% p.a., continuously compounded. The total value of the underlying gold today is $100 million. The risk-free rate of interest is 6.09% p.a. with semi-annual compounding for all maturities. Answer the following questions: (1) What are the forward price and the initial value of this forward contract? (2) One year later, the value of the gold is $120 million and the risk-free rate of interest remains the same. The net storage and security cost also remains the same. What are the forward price and the value of the forward contract?
Question
Consider a long position in a two-years forward contract. The underlying asset is gold which incurs a net storage and security cost of 2% p.a., continuously compounded. The total value of the underlying gold today is 120 million and the risk-free rate of interest remains the same. The net storage and security cost also remains the same. What are the forward price and the value of the forward contract?
Solution
(1) The forward price of a contract can be calculated using the formula:
F = Se^(rT)
where: F = forward price S = spot price (current price of the asset) e = base of natural logarithm r = risk-free rate (annual) T = time to delivery (in years)
However, since there is a storage cost, the formula becomes:
F = Se^((r+s)T)
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