A binomial experiment with probability of success p=0.32 and n=11 trials is conducted. What is the probability that the experiment results in 1 or fewer successes?
Question
A binomial experiment with probability of success p=0.32 and n=11 trials is conducted. What is the probability that the experiment results in 1 or fewer successes?
Solution
To solve this problem, we will use the binomial probability formula:
P(X=k) = C(n, k) * (p^k) * ((1-p)^(n-k))
where:
- P(X=k) is the probability of k successes in n trials
- C(n, k) is the combination of n items taken k at a time
- p is the probability of success
- n is the number of trials
We want to find the probability of 1 or fewer successes, so we need to find P(X=0) and P(X=1) and then add these probabilities together.
-
Calculate P(X=0): Here, k=0. So, we plug in the values into the formula: P(X=0) = C(11, 0) * (0.32^0) * ((1-0.32)^(11-0)) = 1 * 1 * (0.68^11) = 0.68^11 = 0.00057 (approximately)
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Calculate P(X=1): Here, k=1. So, we plug in the values into the formula: P(X=1) = C(11, 1) * (0.32^1) * ((1-0.32)^(11-1)) = 11 * 0.32 * (0.68^10) = 0.0035 (approximately)
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Add P(X=0) and P(X=1) to get the final probability: P(X<=1) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) = 0.00057 + 0.0035 = 0.00407
So, the probability that the experiment results in 1 or fewer successes is approximately 0.00407 or 0.407%.
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