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The workers' union at a particular university is quite strong. About 94% of all workers employed by the university belong to the workers' union. Recently, the workers went on strike, and now a local TV station plans to interview 5 workers (chosen at random) at the university to get their opinions on the strike. What is the probability that exactly 2 of the workers interviewed are union members?Round your response to at least three decimal places. (If necessary, consult a list of formulas.)

Question

The workers' union at a particular university is quite strong. About 94% of all workers employed by the university belong to the workers' union. Recently, the workers went on strike, and now a local TV station plans to interview 5 workers (chosen at random) at the university to get their opinions on the strike. What is the probability that exactly 2 of the workers interviewed are union members?Round your response to at least three decimal places. (If necessary, consult a list of formulas.)

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Solution

This problem can be solved using the binomial probability formula, which is:

P(X=k) = C(n, k) * (p^k) * ((1-p)^(n-k))

where:

  • P(X=k) is the probability of k successes in n trials
  • C(n, k) is the combination of n items taken k at a time
  • p is the probability of success on a single trial
  • n is the number of trials
  • k is the number of successes

In this case:

  • n = 5 (the number of workers interviewed)
  • k = 2 (the number of union members we're interested in)
  • p = 0.94 (the probability that a worker chosen at random is a union member)

First, calculate C(n, k), which is the number of combinations of 5 items taken 2 at a time. This can be calculated as:

C(n, k) = n! / [k!(n-k)!] = 5! / [2!(5-2)!] = 10

Next, calculate p^k, which is (0.94)^2 = 0.8836

Then, calculate (1-p)^(n-k), which is (0.06)^3 = 0.000216

Finally, multiply these three values together to get the probability:

P(X=2) = C(n, k) * (p^k) * ((1-p)^(n-k)) = 10 * 0.8836 * 0.000216 = 0.00191

So, the probability that exactly 2 of the workers interviewed are union members is approximately 0.002, or 0.2%.

This problem has been solved

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