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Though the selection of smoothing coefficient (W) you assign to the annual time series with exponential smoothing is somewhat subjective, you should select a small value for W if your goal is ______. a. forecasting b. only to smooth a series by eliminating unwanted cyclical and irregular variations c. only to smooth a series of by eliminating important cyclical variations d. only to smooth a series by eliminating important irregular variations

Question

Though the selection of smoothing coefficient (W) you assign to the annual time series with exponential smoothing is somewhat subjective, you should select a small value for W if your goal is ______.

a. forecasting

b. only to smooth a series by eliminating unwanted cyclical and irregular variations c. only to smooth a series of by eliminating important cyclical variations

d. only to smooth a series by eliminating important irregular variations

...expand
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Solution

The correct answer is b. only to smooth a series by eliminating unwanted cyclical and irregular variations.

The smoothing coefficient (W) in exponential smoothing is used to give different weights to different data points in a time series. A smaller value of W means that more weight is given to older data points, which helps in smoothing the series by eliminating unwanted cyclical and irregular variations. This is because a smaller W reduces the impact of more recent, potentially volatile data points, thereby smoothing out the series.

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