You are a price maker running the AUD/USD options book for your bank. Your customer is an importer of electrical consumer goods who makes payment in USD, but they do not have any USD available. Your customer is required to hedge their FX risk on an upcoming exposure. They are VERY bearish on the AUD/USD rate. Unhedged, a weaker AUD/USD rate is ? to their profitability. Given their outlook for the currency, the most appropriate hedging stratey would be to:?
Question
You are a price maker running the AUD/USD options book for your bank. Your customer is an importer of electrical consumer goods who makes payment in USD, but they do not have any USD available. Your customer is required to hedge their FX risk on an upcoming exposure. They are VERY bearish on the AUD/USD rate. Unhedged, a weaker AUD/USD rate is ? to their profitability. Given their outlook for the currency, the most appropriate hedging stratey would be to:?
Solution
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Understanding the Situation: The customer is an importer of electrical consumer goods who makes payments in USD. However, they do not have any USD available. They are required to hedge their foreign exchange (FX) risk on an upcoming exposure. They are very bearish on the AUD/USD rate, meaning they expect the value of the Australian dollar (AUD) to decrease relative to the US dollar (USD).
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Impact on Profitability: If the AUD/USD rate weakens (i.e., the value of AUD decreases relative to USD), it would be detrimental to the customer's profitability. This is because they would need more AUD to purchase the same amount of USD to pay for their imports.
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Appropriate Hedging Strategy: Given their bearish outlook on the AUD/USD rate, the most appropriate hedging strategy would be to buy put options on AUD/USD. A put option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell a certain amount of a specific asset (in this case, AUD) at a predetermined price within a specified time period. If the AUD/USD rate does indeed fall, the customer can exercise their put option to sell AUD at a higher rate than the current market rate, thereby mitigating their FX risk.
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