Consider two policy alternatives for disinflation. Policy A is forecasted to last 5 years, and requires the unemployment rate to be kept above NAIRU by 3% throughout the five years. Policy B is forecasted to last 6 years, with unemployment rate above NAIRU by 4% in the first 3 years, and by 2% for the remaining 3 years. Which of the following statements is correct?Group of answer choicesIf Policy B achieves a larger reduction in inflation rate compared to Policy A, it implies Policy B has a smaller sacrifice ratio.If the sacrifice ratio of the economy is 5, Policy B should lead to a disinflation of 3%.None of the other statements is correct.Policy A has higher point-year of excess unemployment than Policy B.
Question
Consider two policy alternatives for disinflation. Policy A is forecasted to last 5 years, and requires the unemployment rate to be kept above NAIRU by 3% throughout the five years. Policy B is forecasted to last 6 years, with unemployment rate above NAIRU by 4% in the first 3 years, and by 2% for the remaining 3 years. Which of the following statements is correct?Group of answer choicesIf Policy B achieves a larger reduction in inflation rate compared to Policy A, it implies Policy B has a smaller sacrifice ratio.If the sacrifice ratio of the economy is 5, Policy B should lead to a disinflation of 3%.None of the other statements is correct.Policy A has higher point-year of excess unemployment than Policy B.
Solution
The correct statement is: "If Policy B achieves a larger reduction in inflation rate compared to Policy A, it implies Policy B has a smaller sacrifice ratio."
Here's why:
The sacrifice ratio is a measure of the cost of reducing inflation. It is calculated as the ratio of the percentage loss in output to the reduction in inflation. If Policy B achieves a larger reduction in inflation rate compared to Policy A, it means that the cost (in terms of unemployment) of reducing inflation is lower for Policy B. Therefore, Policy B has a smaller sacrifice ratio.
The other statements are incorrect:
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If the sacrifice ratio of the economy is 5, Policy B should lead to a disinflation of 3%. This statement is incorrect because the sacrifice ratio is not directly related to the disinflation rate. The sacrifice ratio is a measure of the cost of reducing inflation, not the rate of disinflation.
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None of the other statements is correct. This statement is incorrect because the first statement is correct.
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Policy A has higher point-year of excess unemployment than Policy B. This statement is incorrect because Policy A requires the unemployment rate to be kept above NAIRU by 3% for 5 years, while Policy B requires the unemployment rate to be above NAIRU by 4% for 3 years and by 2% for 3 years. Therefore, Policy B has a higher point-year of excess unemployment.
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